Dr. Don Easterbrook Exposes Global Warming Hoax 15

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Global Cooling is Here

Evidence for Predicting Global Cooling for the Next Three Decades

BOOK - Tim Ball deliberate corruption of climate science-smallNote: In 2014, Dr. Tim Ball published: “The Deliberate Corruption of Climate Science”, –  a book that details the numerous violations of the scientific method and reveals the hidden truth beneath the false propaganda transmitted by Corporate Media, including NPR.

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Department of Geology, Western Washington University
Article originally published, 11/2/2008 – Re-Published 10/29/2013
Addendum Video:  3/26/2013 Presentation to WA Senate committee.
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Dr Don Easterbrook mugINTRODUCTION:  Despite no global warming in 10 years and recording setting cold in 2007-2008, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climatic Change (IPCC) and computer modelers who believe that CO2 is the cause of global warming still predict the Earth is in store for catastrophic warming in this century. IPCC computer models have predicted global warming of 1° F per decade and 5-6° C (10-11° F) by 2100 (Fig. 1), which would cause global catastrophe with ramifications for human life, natural habitat, energy and water resources, and food production. All of this is predicated on the assumption that global warming is caused by increasing atmospheric CO2 and that CO2 will continue to rise rapidly.

3/26/2013 Presentation to Washington State Senate Committee on Climate Change – In addition to evidence contrary to IPCC, Dr. Easterbrook alleges media bias and manipulation of data by East Anglia, NASA, NOAA and NSF. (TVW Original Broadcast)

Easterbrrok Video at TVW
Original Broadcast Archive: Click Here

Easterbrook-1-glcool1

Easterbrook-2-glcool1

Figure 1. A. IPCC prediction of global warming early in the 21st century. B. IPCC prediction of global warming to 2100. (Sources: IPCC website)

However, records of past climate changes suggest an altogether different scenario for the 21st century. Rather than drastic global warming at a rate of 0.5 ° C (1° F) per decade, historic records of past natural cycles suggest global cooling for the first several decades of the 21st century to about 2030, followed by global warming from about 2030 to about 2060, and renewed global cooling from 2060 to 2090 (Easterbrook, D.J., 2005, 2006a, b, 2007, 2008a, b); Easterbrook and Kovanen, 2000, 2001). Climatic fluctuations over the past several hundred years suggest ~30 year climatic cycles of global warming and cooling, on a general rising trend from the Little Ice Age.

PREDICTIONS BASED ON PAST CLIMATE PATTERNS

Global climate changes have been far more intense (12 to 20 times as intense in some cases) than the global warming of the past century, and they took place in as little as 20–100 years. Global warming of the past century (0.8° C) is virtually insignificant when compared to the magnitude of at least 10 global climate changes in the past 15,000 years. None of these sudden global climate changes could possibly have been caused by human CO2 input to the atmosphere because they all took place long before anthropogenic CO2 emissions began. The cause of the ten earlier ‘natural’ climate changes was most likely the same as the cause of global warming from 1977 to 1998.

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Figure 2. Climate changes in the past 17,000 years from the GISP2 Greenland ice core. Red = warming, blue = cooling. (Modified from Cuffy and Clow, 1997)

Climatic fluctuations over the past several hundred years suggest ~30 year climatic cycles of global warming and cooling (Figure 3) on a generally rising trend from the Little Ice Age about 500 years ago.

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Figure 3. Alternating warm and cool cycles since 1470 AD. Blue = cool, red = warm. Based on oxygen isotope ratios from the GISP2 Greenland ice core.

Relationships between glacial fluctuations, the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, and global climate change.

After several decades of studying alpine glacier fluctuations in the North Cascade Range, my research showed a distinct pattern of glacial advances and retreats (the Glacial Decadal Oscillation, GDO) that correlated well with climate records. In 1992, Mantua published the Pacific Decadal Oscillation curve showing warming and cooling of the Pacific Ocean that correlated remarkably well with glacial fluctuations. Both the GDA and the PDO matched global temperature records and were obviously related (Fig. 4). All but the latest 30 years of changes occurred prior to significant CO2 emissions so they were clearly unrelated to atmospheric CO2.

Easterbrook-5-glcool1

Figure 4. Correspondence of the GDO, PDO, and global temperature variations.

The significance of the correlation between the GDO, PDO, and global temperature is that once this connection has been made, climatic changes during the past century can be understood, and the pattern of glacial and climatic fluctuations over the past millennia can be reconstructed. These patterns can then be used to project climatic changes in the future. Using the pattern established for the past several hundred years, in 1998 I projected the temperature curve for the past century into the next century and came up with curve ‘A’ in Figure 5 as an approximation of what might be in store for the world if the pattern of past climate changes continued. Ironically, that prediction was made in the warmest year of the past three decades and at the acme of the 1977-1998 warm period. At that time, the projected curved indicated global cooling beginning about 2005 ± 3-5 years until about 2030, then renewed warming from about 2030 to about 2060 (unrelated to CO2—just continuation of the natural cycle), then another cool period from about 2060 to about 2090. This was admittedly an approximation, but it was radically different from the 1° F per decade warming called for by the IPCC. Because the prediction was so different from the IPCC prediction, time would obviously show which projection was ultimately correct.

Now a decade later, the global climate has not warmed 1° F as forecast by the IPCC but has cooled slightly until 2007-08 when global temperatures turned sharply downward. In 2008, NASA satellite imagery (Figure 6) confirmed that the Pacific Ocean had switched from the warm mode it had been in since 1977 to its cool mode, similar to that of the 1945-1977 global cooling period. The shift strongly suggests that the next several decades will be cooler, not warmer as predicted by the IPCC. 

Easterbrook-6-glcool1

Figure 5.Global temperature projection for the coming century, based on warming/cooling cycles of the past several centuries. ‘A’ projection based on assuming next cool phase will be similar to the 1945-1977 cool phase. ‘B’ projection based on assuming next cool phase will be similar to the 1880-1915 cool phase. The predicted warm cycle from 2030 to 2060 is based on projection of the 1977 to 1998 warm phase and the cooling phase from 2060 to 2090 is based on projection of the 1945 to 1977 cool cycle.

Implications of PDO, NAO, GDO, and sun spot cycles for global climate in coming decades

The IPCC prediction of global temperatures, 1° F warmer by 2011 and 2° F by 2038 (Fig. 1), stand little chance of being correct. NASA’s imagery showing that the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) has shifted to its cool phase is right on schedule as predicted by past climate and PDO changes (Easterbrook, 2001, 2006, 2007). The PDO typically lasts 25-30 years and assures North America of cool, wetter climates during its cool phases and warmer, drier climates during its warm phases. The establishment of the cool PDO, together with similar cooling of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), virtually assures several decades of global cooling and the end of the past 30-year warm phase. It also means that the IPCC predictions of catastrophic global warming this century were highly inaccurate.

The switch of PDO cool mode to warm mode in 1977 initiated several decades of global warming. The PDO has now switched from its warm mode (where it had been since 1977) into its cool mode. As shown on the graph above, each time this had happened in the past century, global temperature has followed. The upper map shows cool ocean temperatures in blue (note the North American west coast). The lower diagram shows how the PDO has switched back and forth from warm to cool modes in the past century, each time causing global temperature to follow. Comparisons of historic global climate warming and cooling over the past century with PDO and NAO oscillations, glacial fluctuations, and sun spot activity show strong correlations and provide a solid data base for future climate change projections.

The Pacific Ocean has a warm temperature mode and a cool temperature mode, and in the past century, has switched back forth between these two modes every 25-30 years (known as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation or PDO). In 1977 the Pacific abruptly shifted from its cool mode (where it had been since about 1945) into its warm mode, and this initiated global warming from 1977 to 1998. The correlation between the PDO and global climate is well established. The announcement by NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory that the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) had shifted to its cool phase is right on schedule as predicted by past climate and PDO changes (Easterbrook, 2001, 2006, 2007). The PDO typically lasts 25-30 years and assures North America of cool, wetter climates during its cool phases and warmer, drier climates during its warm phases. The establishment of the cool PDO, together with similar cooling of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), virtually assures several decades of global cooling and the end of the past 30-year warm phase.

Eaterbrrok-7-globalcool7

Figure 6. Switch of PDO cool mode to warm mode in 1977 initiated several decades of global warming. The PDO has now switched from its warm mode (where it had been since 1977) into its cool mode. As shown on the graph above, each time this has happened in the past century, global temperature has followed. The upper map shows cool ocean temperatures in blue (note the North American west coast). The lower diagram shows how the PDO has switched back and forth from warm to cool modes in the past century, each time causing global temperature to follow. Projection of the past pattern (right end of graph) assures 30 yrs of global cooling

Comparisons of historic global climate warming and cooling over the past century with PDO and NAO oscillations, glacial fluctuations, and sun spot activity show strong correlations and provide a solid data base for future climate change projections. As shown by the historic pattern of GDOs and PDOs over the past century and by corresponding global warming and cooling, the pattern is part of ongoing warm/cool cycles that last 25-30 years. The global cooling phase from 1880 to 1910, characterized by advance of glaciers worldwide, was followed by a shift to the warm-phase PDO for 30 years, global warming and rapid glacier recession. The cool-phase PDO returned in ~1945 accompanied by global cooling and glacial advance for 30 years. Shift to the warm-phase PDO in 1977 initiated global warming and recession of glaciers that persisted until 1998. Recent establishment of the PDO cool phase appeared right on target and assuming that its effect will be similar to past history, global climates can be expected to cool over the next 25-30 years. The global warming of this century is exactly in phase with the normal climatic pattern of cyclic warming and cooling and we have now switched from a warm phase to a cool phase right at the predicted time (Fig. 5)

The ramifications of the global cooling cycle for the next 30 years are far reaching―e.g., failure of crops in critical agricultural areas (it’s already happening this year), increasing energy demands, transportation difficulties, and habitat change. All this during which global population will increase from six billion to about nine billion. The real danger in spending trillions of dollars trying to reduce atmospheric CO2 is that little will be left to deal with the very real problems engendered by global cooling.

CONCLUSIONS

Global warming (i.e, the warming since 1977) is over. The minute increase of anthropogenic CO2 in the atmosphere (0.008%) was not the cause of the warming—it was a continuation of natural cycles that occurred over the past 500 years.

The PDO cool mode has replaced the warm mode in the Pacific Ocean, virtually assuring us of about 30 years of global cooling, perhaps much deeper than the global cooling from about 1945 to 1977. Just how much cooler the global climate will be during this cool cycle is uncertain. Recent solar changes suggest that it could be fairly severe, perhaps more like the 1880 to 1915 cool cycle than the more moderate 1945-1977 cool cycle. A more drastic cooling, similar to that during the Dalton and Maunder minimums, could plunge the Earth into another Little Ice Age, but only time will tell if that is likely.

Don J. Easterbrook is Professor Emeritus of Geology at Western Washington University. Bellingham, WA. He has published extensively on issues pertaining to global climate change. For further details see his list of publications

15 comments

  1. Sorry pal..the IPCC hypothesis for AGW has fallen completely off the rails. The church of global warming is revieled as a “belief” system backed by cooked science.

  2. What would be wrong with forcing the Powers That Be (PTB, WORLD ELITE) to recognize that we now KNOW that they have been spraying deadly poisons on a daily basis for at least 20 years by chemtrailing/geoengineering. It was developed as a military weapon, and is continuing on that basis, as a means of DRASTIC population control by those that have covertly taken over our government since 1913, creating a world wide fiat currency to control the world through its resources . (The group that began central banking is the group that has created a debt currency, which steals from the world population in nefarious ways, day in and day out, while defacing the currency they created, which is used to finance both sides of the wars they create through corruption in collusion with lobbyists, military,politicians and the dupes they think are fooled into believing their vote matters. ! THIS IS A NATO /UN USA PLANNED OPERATION, PLANNED BY THE PTB; death & war is their motive for population control .)

    INSTEAD OF ARGUING WHETHER THERE IS “WARMING” CAUSED CARBON (AN ESSENTIAL NUTRIENT FOR ALL LIVING THINGS) BY HUMAN INTERFERENCE, WHY NOT STAND UP TO THE PTB TO DEMAND:
    STOP GEOENGINEERING, HAARP, AND THE FALSE & MUCH MORE THAN BEFORE VULNERABLE ELECTRICAL “SMART METER” GRID, ENGINEERED TO BE PART OF POPULATION CONTROL IN COORDINATION WITH THE MILITARY INDUSTRIAL COMPLEX GOVERNMENT, & CENTRAL BANKING SCAMS ?

    WE KNOW THEY WILL NOT BLINK UNTIL WE LOUDLY ACCUSE THEM OF MURDER ON A PLANETARY BASIS, AND REFUSE TO PAY THE TAXES THAT THEY USE FOR OUR DESTRUCTION THROUGH WARS AND POISONING WITH DEPLETED URANIUM, CHEMTRAILS ALUMINUM, STRONTIUM, BARIUM , AND GOD ONLY KNOWS WHAT ELSE IS IN THE MIX.

    NATURAL LAW WORKED WELL UNTIL THE HUMAN DECIDED TO TRY TO BE GOD THROUGH CONTROL, ALWAYS WITH WICKED, DEADLY, AND/OR UNPLANNED RESULTS.

    PLEASE , IT DOES NOT MATTER IF THEY KILL THE PLANET WITH GMO’S, HEAT, COLD, WAR, OR AIRBORNE DEADLY AEROSOLED NANO SIZED METALLIC RECIPES WHICH COMBINE WITH THE PURPOSEFULLY CREATED ELECTROMAGNETIC POLLUTION OF OUR WORLD: THE END RESULT WILL BE THE SAME. (probably only the cockroaches and rats would survive, mutate, and fatally bite their creators to get even on their way out. )

    What would be wrong with forcing the Powers That Be (PTB, WORLD ELITE) to recognize that we now KNOW that they have been spraying deadly poisons on a daily basis for at least 20 years by chemtrailing/geoengineering. It was developed as a military weapon, and is continuing on that basis, as a means of DRASTIC population control by those that have covertly taken over our government since 1913, creating a world wide fiat currency to control the world through its resources . (The group that began central banking is the group that has created a debt currency, which steals from the world population in nefarious ways, day in and day out, while defacing the currency they created, which is used to finance both sides of the wars they create through corruption in collusion with lobbyists, military,politicians and the dupes they think are fooled into believing their vote matters. ! THIS IS A NATO /UN USA PLANNED OPERATION, PLANNED BY THE PTB; death & war is their motive for population control .)

    INSTEAD OF ARGUING WHETHER THERE IS “WARMING” CAUSED CARBON (AN ESSENTIAL NUTRIENT FOR ALL LIVING THINGS) BY HUMAN INTERFERENCE, WHY NOT STAND UP TO THE PTB TO DEMAND:
    STOP GEOENGINEERING, HAARP, AND THE FALSE & MUCH MORE THAN BEFORE VULNERABLE ELECTRICAL “SMART METER” GRID, ENGINEERED TO BE PART OF POPULATION CONTROL IN COORDINATION WITH THE MILITARY INDUSTRIAL COMPLEX GOVERNMENT, & CENTRAL BANKING SCAMS ?

    WE KNOW THEY WILL NOT BLINK UNTIL WE LOUDLY ACCUSE THEM OF MURDER ON A PLANETARY BASIS, AND REFUSE TO PAY THE TAXES THAT THEY USE FOR OUR DESTRUCTION THROUGH WARS AND POISONING WITH DEPLETED URANIUM, CHEMTRAILS ALUMINUM, STRONTIUM, BARIUM , AND GOD ONLY KNOWS WHAT ELSE IS IN THE MIX.

    NATURAL LAW WORKED WELL UNTIL THE HUMAN DECIDED TO TRY TO BE GOD THROUGH CONTROL, ALWAYS WITH WICKED, DEADLY, AND/OR UNPLANNED RESULTS.

    PLEASE , IT DOES NOT MATTER IF THEY KILL THE PLANET WITH GMO’S, HEAT, COLD, WAR, OR AIRBORNE DEADLY AEROSOLED NANO SIZED METALLIC RECIPES WHICH COMBINE WITH THE PURPOSEFULLY CREATED ELECTROMAGNETIC POLLUTION OF OUR WORLD: THE END RESULT WILL BE THE SAME. (probably only the cockroaches and rats would survive, mutate, and fatally bite their creators to get even on their way out. )

    AT THE VERY LEAST STOP IT NOW, AND LATER ANALYSE HONESTLY THE RESULTS OF TAMPERING WITH MOTHER NATURE FOR THE LAST 25 YEARS. THERE ARE SOME REAL SOCIOPATHIC FRUITCAKES INVOLVED, DETERMINED TO USE THESE METHODS TO BIOENGINEER A HUMAN/ COMPUTER/CHIMERA, TO PLAY GOD IN USING DESTRUCTION OF SPECIES FOR THIS WORLD WIDE DEADLY EXPERIMENT. (THE SINGULARITY” )

    • Ascribing intent to the aerosol spraying is premature, goes too far and increases wholesale accusations that you (we) are a “conspiracy theory”.

      First, we need to raise fundamental awareness that we have 100% confirmation that jet aircraft are spraying aerosols….for whatever reason.

      Perhaps it’s a form of population control but we don’t know this with enough certitude since no agency will admit the aerosols exist in the first place.

      Stick with what you know.

      It will be much easier for activists to get agencies and pilots to admit to spraying aerosols than it will be to get them to admit they are involved in the evil of “soft kill” or “population control”.

      H

  3. They are spraying voraciously today in Southern California. I spoke with an airline pilot from Arizona last night, and he said there are no chemtrails, its all contrails. How can he be in denial with these long, extended sprays reaching across the skies? How much in denial can one person get? I was so frustrated by his response that there are no such thing as chemtrails, yet today, they are covering the entire sky, in every direction, sprays, zig zags, disgusting. why do I feel so tired, spacey and heavy headed today, because of these obnoxious and toxic sprays.

    • Some pilots actually trained to fly during the upsurge in chemtrails so they don;t know the difference. They know how to fly but not much about atmospheric science.

      Also the agencies are under secret clearance not to divulge for “national security” reasons.

      Go to the main page and click under “reading assignment” to understand how this all started with NASA in 1966 and later when the military got involved with the National weather Modification program as a weapons program.

  4. Pingback: Dr. Don Easterbrook Exposes Global Warming Hoax | Pilataanko Suomessakin tarkoituksellisesti Suomen ilmasto ja maaperä? Tutki nyt asiaa avoimin mielin.

  5. Dr Easterbrook presentation is pretty good overall, but a bit weak on the why the data was “adjusted”. If he could have explained it better when asked, it would have helped.

    This web site explain very well how the different data set have been adjusted and to resolve which issues.

    It shows what the issues are, how they have been resolved and why the result is not correct.

    Using good siting stations with no urban heat island issues, shows that the 1930’s have been warmer than today and that today is nothing to worry about.

    They also prove that the theory of CO2 drivin the green house effect is actually non existant.

    http://globalwarmingsolved.com

    Enjoy!

  6. How about a pilot that confirms ‘those ARE chemtrails’? I live in Brevard county Florida Home of Kennedy Space Center and Patrick Air Force base – it’s the land of ‘I dream of Jeannie’!
    Several months ago I stepped away from a party being held at a Cocoa Beach bar and into the parking lot and began taking pictures of the red sunset sky filled with chemtrailers when a Corvette pulled right against the back of my thighs and stopped. The elderly man driving said what are you doing? I stared him right in the eyes and said ‘ You don’t want to know’. To which he replied ‘You’re photographing chemtrails’. I said ‘What do YOU know about them’?
    He said ‘Plenty – those ARE chemtrails – NOT contrails. I’m a graduate of the class of ’57 USAF Academy – almost 40 years flying – retired now. So I know the difference’.
    ‘It’s obvious they’re not contrails – so why all the secrecy’, I asked. To which he replied ‘It’s military – been top secret forever. All I can tell you is ‘communication’.’
    I said, ‘The communication with subs using VLF and ULF and barium laced into the atmosphere ended years ago – they don;t do that any more’.
    To which he said, ‘It’s all about communication – advanced communication – very advanced communication – that’s the key to your questions.’
    And away he drove in his Corvette Stingray – a true ‘Flightboy’

    I believe the best Dr Don Easterbrook video is him testifying in front of congress:
    Dr Don Easterbrook Exposes Climate Change Hoax

    It’s a ‘MUST WATCH’ for those looking for basic facts that blow away the CAGW/GW Hoaxsters.

  7. Pingback: What's the chance of Ted Cruz becoming president? - Page 28

  8. Thanks, I’ve seen so much good info empirical data but there’s no talking to brainwashed person.Seems they can’t read. Same with Chemtrails, I think the everyday person 80% has more sense on issues.

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